Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000021 0.000023 0.000026 0.000030 0.000034 0.000039 0.000045
2025-02-09 0.000016 0.000020 0.000024 0.000030 0.000037 0.000048 0.000063
2025-02-16 0.000014 0.000018 0.000023 0.000030 0.000041 0.000057 0.000084
2025-02-23 0.000013 0.000017 0.000022 0.000031 0.000045 0.000068 0.000112
2025-03-02 0.000011 0.000016 0.000021 0.000031 0.000048 0.000079 0.000147
2025-03-09 0.000010 0.000014 0.000021 0.000031 0.000050 0.000088 0.000183
2025-03-16 0.000010 0.000013 0.000020 0.000031 0.000052 0.000098 0.000225
2025-03-23 0.000009 0.000013 0.000019 0.000031 0.000055 0.000110 0.000285
2025-03-30 0.000008 0.000012 0.000019 0.000031 0.000058 0.000123 0.000363
2025-04-06 0.000008 0.000012 0.000018 0.000031 0.000060 0.000135 0.000451
2025-04-13 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000031 0.000061 0.000147 0.000554
2025-04-20 0.000007 0.000011 0.000017 0.000030 0.000063 0.000161 0.000697
2025-04-27 0.000007 0.000010 0.000017 0.000031 0.000067 0.000183 0.000950
2025-05-04 0.000006 0.000010 0.000016 0.000031 0.000069 0.000201 0.001250
2025-05-11 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000031 0.000072 0.000229 0.001790
2025-05-18 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000077 0.000269 0.002852
2025-05-25 0.000006 0.000009 0.000016 0.000032 0.000082 0.000313 0.004688
2025-06-01 0.000005 0.000009 0.000015 0.000032 0.000085 0.000347 0.007189
2025-06-08 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000087 0.000381 0.011312
2025-06-15 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000090 0.000433 0.021636
2025-06-22 0.000005 0.000008 0.000015 0.000032 0.000094 0.000493 0.048875
2025-06-29 0.000005 0.000008 0.000014 0.000032 0.000097 0.000546 0.119607
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000007 0.000014 0.000032 0.000098 0.000597 0.366830